AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(MLB) Cleveland vs. Cincinnati,
Money Line: -123.00 Cincinnati (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 1* Free Play on the Cincinnati Reds.

The Reds have dominated the Tribe at the Great American Ballpark of late and I think we are getting them a good price in this matchup. Take note that I won with Cincinnati yesterday as well as a "paid" selection. Cleveland will go with T.J. House (1-2, 4.09 ERA) who is coming off his first solid start of the season; House went five innings and allowed zero runs in a no decision against Texas. Note though that House is 0-2 with a 4.78 ERA on the road this year and hasn't made it past the fifth inning in any of his last three outings. The Reds will counter with Homer Bailey (8-5, 3.89 ERA) who looks to be hitting his stride; Bailey allowed one run over seven innings in a no decision against the Marlins in his last start. Note that Bailey's allowed only two runs in his last fifteen innings of work and the efforts have dropped his ERA to a respectable 3.89. Bailey would struggle early in the year but looks like he's starting to lock things in now; at home the right-hander is 5-2 with a 3.43 ERA this season. The Reds are 6-0 at home versus the Indians the past three years after yesterday's beatdown victory. Additionally, Cincinnati is 10-5 as a favorite of in the -125 to -150 range this season and I like that trend to continue in this favorable matchup. Cleveland has been superb on the road but is a sub-par 23-35 away from friendly confines this season. Consider paying a very fair price to get Bailey and the Reds.

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