AAA's 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF YEAR! 3-1 (75%) NCAAF L/SAT!
(NCAAF) North Carolina vs. East Carolina,
Point Spread: 3.00 | -115.00 North Carolina (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR on North Carolina.

North Carolina is 2-0 SU and 0-2 ATS this year. It's had a week off after beating SDSU 31-27 as a 14.5 point favorite on September 6th. So with a week off to prepare and focus, I think the visitors will at the very least keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door. East Carolina is 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS and I think is primed for a letdown here after last week's emotional 28-21 outright win over Virginia Tech as a 10 point underdog. This is also a "revenge" scenario for the visitors who would fall 55-31 at home to ECU last year as 12.5 point favorites. So while the Pirates are 7-1 ATS in their last eight overall, I definitely feel this sets up as a natural letdown spot, which is bad news vs. this confident Tar Heels team. UNC entered the season ranked No. 23 in the AP Top 25 and has won its two games by a combined 31 points, but has since dropped out of the national rankings. The offense looks great, the defense needs some work though after giving up 29 and 27 points respectively. But as mentioned, the NC's offense looks fantastic, it's posted 87 total points so far behind a very balanced pass/rush attack. Tar Heels QB Marquise Williams has already thrown for 424 yards and four TDs behind a 67.2 percent pass completion. Williams though has also been deadly with his feet, he's rushed for 115 yards and two major scores on 18 attempts. Pirates' QB Shane Carden has also been great so far, he has 1,031 yards passing in three games, as well as thrown for seven scoring TD's while completing 63.3 percent of his throws; that said, I think he'll be in tough today vs. this revenge minded UNC unit. So not only do I feel this sets up as a letdown spot for ECU after its big upset last week, but I also believe that it's a "look ahead" spot for it, as well as it won't be able to help itself in looking ahead to next week's bye. Conversely, this is an ultra important game for the Tar Heels who are in No. 22 Clemson next week, then Virginia Tech, Notre Dame, Georgia Tech, Virginia, Miami, Pittsburgh, Duke and NC State to finish the season; in my opinion, this is a must-win contest for the visitors. Play on NORTH CAROLINA.

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