PREMIUM
AAA's 10* AFC GAME OF THE MONTH! 4-0 (100%) w/ 10* NFL L/SUN!
(NFL) Jacksonville vs. San Diego,
Point Spread: 14.00 | -120.00 Jacksonville (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 14.00 | -120.00 Jacksonville (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* AFC GAME OF THE MONTH on the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Blake Bortles era has arrived in Jacksonville, I think the rookie can do enough to keep this one competitive and look for his team to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. While it won't be an easy task, I think this does set up as a letdown/look ahead spot for the home side; after a tough 18-17 loss in Arizona to open the season, San Diego would beat Seattle 30-21 in Week 2 and then would hold on for another upset win in Buffalo last Sunday in a 22-10 victory. Dating back to last season the Chargers have now covered five straight. Jacksonville on the other hand has lost six straight, both SU and ATS since last year. Bortles was inserted into last week's 44-17 loss at Indianapolis at halftime when his team trailed 30-0 and would finish 14 of 24 for 223 yards and two TD's, as well as 30 yards on two carries. Let's face it, Jacksonville is a poor team, it had scored one TD in its last 10 quarters before Bortles was forced into action: "It was definitely good to get some game action before you go into the week of practice," Bortles said afterwards. "So I mean kind of taking it one day at a time, try to learn from everything, every experience, situation you get put in and move on." Not surprisingly, this sets up as a revenge game for the visitors who would fall 24-6 at home to San Diego last year. I played the Chargers last week, so far veteran QB Philip Rivers has been pretty good this year, he has five TD's, no INT's and a 74.2 completion percentage over his last two games. The visitors catch a break though in facing a depleted Chargers backfield; already without the services of starting RB Ryan Mathews, San Diego lost Danny Woodhead for the year after he suffered a broken leg in the win over Buffalo. That means that Donald Brown, who had 31 carries for just 62 yards last week, and undrafted rookie Branden Oliver will shoulder the load. Also note that Bortles and the offense also catch a break in not having to face LB Manti Te'o, who leads the team in tackles but who fractured his foot last Sunday. Note that Jacksonville is 3-2 ATS in its last five after a loss vs. a division rival and 6-4 ATS in its last ten as an underdog of 10 points or more. And note that San Diego is 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as a favorite, 0-1 ATS the last two years as a favorite of 10 points or more, just 8-9 ATS its last 17 in front of the home town crowd and a sub-par 6-8 ATS its last 14 vs. teams with losing records. I feel that the situation, the numbers and the trends all point to JACKSONVILLE as the sharp wager in this one.
AAA Sports
The Blake Bortles era has arrived in Jacksonville, I think the rookie can do enough to keep this one competitive and look for his team to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. While it won't be an easy task, I think this does set up as a letdown/look ahead spot for the home side; after a tough 18-17 loss in Arizona to open the season, San Diego would beat Seattle 30-21 in Week 2 and then would hold on for another upset win in Buffalo last Sunday in a 22-10 victory. Dating back to last season the Chargers have now covered five straight. Jacksonville on the other hand has lost six straight, both SU and ATS since last year. Bortles was inserted into last week's 44-17 loss at Indianapolis at halftime when his team trailed 30-0 and would finish 14 of 24 for 223 yards and two TD's, as well as 30 yards on two carries. Let's face it, Jacksonville is a poor team, it had scored one TD in its last 10 quarters before Bortles was forced into action: "It was definitely good to get some game action before you go into the week of practice," Bortles said afterwards. "So I mean kind of taking it one day at a time, try to learn from everything, every experience, situation you get put in and move on." Not surprisingly, this sets up as a revenge game for the visitors who would fall 24-6 at home to San Diego last year. I played the Chargers last week, so far veteran QB Philip Rivers has been pretty good this year, he has five TD's, no INT's and a 74.2 completion percentage over his last two games. The visitors catch a break though in facing a depleted Chargers backfield; already without the services of starting RB Ryan Mathews, San Diego lost Danny Woodhead for the year after he suffered a broken leg in the win over Buffalo. That means that Donald Brown, who had 31 carries for just 62 yards last week, and undrafted rookie Branden Oliver will shoulder the load. Also note that Bortles and the offense also catch a break in not having to face LB Manti Te'o, who leads the team in tackles but who fractured his foot last Sunday. Note that Jacksonville is 3-2 ATS in its last five after a loss vs. a division rival and 6-4 ATS in its last ten as an underdog of 10 points or more. And note that San Diego is 6-7 ATS in its last 13 as a favorite, 0-1 ATS the last two years as a favorite of 10 points or more, just 8-9 ATS its last 17 in front of the home town crowd and a sub-par 6-8 ATS its last 14 vs. teams with losing records. I feel that the situation, the numbers and the trends all point to JACKSONVILLE as the sharp wager in this one.
AAA Sports
