AAA's *Tennessee/Ole Miss* BLOCKBUSTER!
(NCAAF) Tennessee vs. Mississippi,
Point Spread: 17.00 | -110.00 Tennessee (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER on Tennessee.

I think the visitors can catch the complacent home side off guard and keep this one close enough to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. I think this sets up as a natural letdown spot after back to back monster games for Ole Miss. Mississippi QB Bo Wallace has been pretty sharp this year, the senior pivot has engineered two straight wins over ranked conference opponents; while he's thrown six INT's this season, he's made none in conference play, while posting 17 major strikes. Ole Miss though has been getting the job done with great defense, it's allowing the second-fewest PPG in the FBS. And that defensive play has helped Wallace overcome a ho-hum season, he's averaging only 225.7 passing yards over the last three games; last weeks 13 completions on 19 attemtps and 178 total yards in the victory over A&M were all season lows. I think the Vols come in fearless today, they are 3-3 and will be looking to test the Rebels defense from start to finish (also note, this sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for Ole Miss with a game at LSU next weekend and then hosting No. 6 Auburn on November 1st). Tennesse is actualy next to last in the 14-team SEC with 28 points and an average of 347.5 YPG; however, note that it was extremely competitive in a 35-32 loss at then No. 12 Georgia on September 27th. Also note, while the Vols haven't been setting any records offensively, they remain competitive with a stout defensive unit of their own which has held its last two opponents to less than 100 yards passing. Tennessee took Florida down to the wire in a 10-9 loss on October 4th, but comes in with confidence after destroying FCS Chattanooga 45-10 last Saturday, QB Justin Worley matched a career high with three passing TD's and ran for two more. While the Runnin' Rebels defense deserves the lime-light, we can't ignore the fact that Tennessee moved into the Top 20 nationally in scoring defense (19.2 PPG) and total defense (316.3 YPG), after last week's win. Note that Tennessee is 2-1 ATS in its last three road games as a road underdog in the 14 to 21 points range, while Mississippi is 5-6 ATS in its last 11 after two or more consecutive SU wins. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but I do think this is way too many points to be giving up here; play on TENNESSEE.

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