AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NFL) NY Jets vs. Kansas City,
Point Spread: 10.50 | -132.00 NY Jets (Away)
Result: Loss
1* Free Play New York Jets.

The oddsmakers aren't giving the 1-7 New York Jets much of a chance this weekend, they've opened as a double-digit underdog. After making significant strides against two playoff bound teams (including a tough 27-25 setback in New England), New York would lay an egg in front of the home town crowd in last week's embarrassing 43-23 loss to the Buffalo Bills. The pathetic effort means that we've seen the last of Geno Smith as starting QB for the foreseeable future, and backup Mike Vick will finally get his shot in the Big Apple. I think change is a good thing, I had the Redskins on Monday night and Colt McCoy definitely proved that statement correct. From a trend based angle, this is a strong play as well, note already 1-0 ATS this year as a road dog of 7.5 to 10 points, the Jets are 3-0 ATS in the same position over the last two. I also think this sets up as a bit of a letdown spot for Kansas City after its big divisional victory over the Chargers last week; note that the Chiefs are just 7-9 ATS in their last 16 vs. teams with losing records and only 7-12 ATS their last 19 at home. "Desperation" is often a factor that the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line and that's the case here in my opinion. While I won't go so far as to call for an outright upset, I do definitely feel that this is too many points to be giving up; consider a second look at the JETS in this one.

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