AAA's NON-CONF SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION, Part 1 (No. 1 IN WORLD NBA 2013/14!)
(NBA) Denver vs. Indiana,
Point Spread: 3.50 | -105.00 Denver (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* NON-CONFERENCE SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Denver Nuggets.

As primarily a situational handicapper, these are exactly the types of "situations" that I look for as I think that the home side is going to have a "letdown" here after it's big win on the road over the Miami Heat. Conversely, the Nuggest come in desperate for a victory and as I've always said: "Desperation breeds motivation!" While the outright win is obviously not out of the question in my opinion, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can. I think the Pacers come in a bit complacent here, they're coming off back-to-back wins, while the Nuggets haven't tasted victory since an 89-79 season opening win over the Pistons. Denver actually ranks near the top of the league with 101.5 possessions per 48 minutes, but is 29th in the league in points allowed: "It's not offensively, it's defense, and defense is about effort," head coach Brian Shaw said last night. "As a coach, I have to find a way to get that kind of defensive effort consistently out of whoever it is that I put out there." From a trend based stand-point, this is definitely a solid selection as well, note the Denver is 47-40 ATS the last two seasons following after scoring 105 points or more, while Indiana is a poor 9-15 ATS in its last 24 off an upset win as an underdog. Look for the NUGGETS to come away with at least the ATS cover.

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