#MLB Free Pick from Mike Lundin
(MLB) Kansas City vs. Philadelphia,
Money Line: -125.00 Kansas City (Away)
Result: Win
Play: Kansas City Royals
Rating: 5*

The Kansas City Royals had won four of five prior to a 4-3 defeat to the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday. I like them to bounce back with a win today behind Danny Duffy.

Duffy (3-1, 3.24 ERA) has been solid since joining the rotation in mid-May. He matched his career high of eight innings on Monday while holding the Cardinals to a pair of runs on six hits with eight strikeouts. Duffy has a 2.03 ERA in 13 appearances (four starts) on the road this season. We can also note that the Phillies are 1-4 in their last five home games vs. a left-handed starter.

The Phillies turn to the struggling Aaron Nola (5-7, 4.45). Nola is 0-3 with a bloated 15.23 ERA in his last four starts and he was tagged with five runs on 10 hits in just 3 1/3 innings at San Francisco his last time out. He's 2-5 with a 4.83 ERA in seven starts home at Citizens Bank Park.

The umpire situation should favor KC as well with the Royals 7-1 in their last eight games with Dan Bellino behind home plate and the road team 8-3 in Bellino's last 11 games. Phillies are 3-9 in their last 12 games following a win, and I think they'll struggle to record a back-to-back win today.

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