#MLB Free Pick from Mike Lundin
(MLB) Detroit vs. Tampa Bay,
Total: 8.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Loss
Play: Over
Rating: 5*

The Tampa Bay Rays managed to slow down the Detroit Tigers bats somewhat on Saturday, but still lost the game 3-2. The Tigers have scored a total of 33 runs through their past four games, and I think we'll see plenty of action over home plate in today's matchup.

Chris Archer (4-11, 4.76) takes the ball for Tampa Bay. He's allowed three earned runs or more in each of his last six starts. He's struggled with his command lately issuing nine free passes in his last three turns alone and a 1.45 WHIP for the season is not something you would expect from an ace like Archer. He's posted a 3.72 ERA in five career games against Detroit and has struggled with Miguel Cabrera (4-for-10).

The Tigers turn to Mike Pelfrey (2-7, 5.02 ERA) who won his last start, against Miami, despite allowing 12 hits over 5 1/3 innings. The Tigers provided him with plenty of run support in the 7-5 victory, and he'll most likely need it today as well. Pelfrey is 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA in three starts versus Tampa Bay and has struggled with Evan Longoria (4-for-8).

Over is 5-1 in Tigers' last six overall and 4-1-1 in the last six meetings with the Rays.

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