Play: Under
Rating: 8*

The slumping Portland Trail Blazers have dropped four of their last five games, and they sure have their work cut out for them when visiting the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday. Portland ranks dead last in the league in defensive efficiency, but I think the total for this game is set way too high. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total, each time with a much lower number than this. The lone over during that stretch was a 105-100 Cleveland win with the total set at 200 last December.

The Cavs held the Pistons to 31.6% shooting from the field in a 104-81 rout on Friday. Under is 8-2 in the Cavaliers last 10 games playing on three or more days rest and 5-1 in Cavaliers last six games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Portland is coming off a 107-103 loss at New York last night, and the under is 8-3 in Trail Blazers' last 11 games when their starting five players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day.