Play: Under
Rating: 8/10*

The last meeting between the Houston Rockets and the Sacramento Kings saw just a total of 188 points scored. We're almost guaranteed to see more points tonight, but I still think this game will stay under the total. Note that James Harden is averaging only 16 ppg against the Kings, lower than any other opponent this season.

The Rockets are coming off a 114-109 loss to Detroit, their fourth loss in the last six games. I like Houston to really bring it on the defensive end of the court here, something the team needs to improve ahead of the playoffs. Sacramento has fallen shy of 100 points in six of its last seven games and Houston has averaged well below its season average of 115.2 ppg in recent weeks. Look for a "low-scoring" contest.