The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds combined for 18 runs in the opener of this three-game series yesterday. Over is now 38-21-5 in the Mets' road games this season, and I predict another slug-fest tonight.

Homer Bailey (4-6, 7.99 ERA) will take the ball for Cincinnati. He's 0-4 with an enormous 12.10 ERA in five starts home at Great American Ballpark this season. Bailey is 1-2 record with a bloated 7.15 ERA in four career starts against the Mets and we can note that over is 5-1 in the Mets last six games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 (Bailey's is 1.97 on the season).

Rafael Montero (2-9, 5.64 ERA) will take the ball for the visitors. He was charged with three earned runs on three hits in 4 1/3 innings during a 5-3 New York victory agains the Reds last season. Montero tossed 5 1/3 innings while allowing three runs on seven hits against Arizona his last start and made a relief appearance Sunday at Washington, surrendering two runs through one-third of an inning.

Over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings overall and 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Cincinnati.

My selection is an 8* play on Over.