This is a huge letdown spot for the Carolina Panthers after last week's 33-30 upset victory as a 9-point dog at New England. Note that the Panthers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.

The Detroit Lions are coming off an upset win as well as they defeated the Vikings 14-7 at Minnesota last week. They forced three turnovers in that game, have forced an NFL-best 11 throughout the season and lead the league with a plus-9 in that category.

Carolina QB Cam Newton threw for three touchdown passes (and added a score on the ground) against the Pats, but he has a 5/5 TD/INT ratio on the season. I wouldn't be confident to say he's back to prime form after just one good performance.

The Lions veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford has been solid all season, throwing seven touchdown passes with only one interception. The Lions are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and this looks like a good spot to back Detroit.

My free pick is on Detroit Lions.

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