Both the Seattle Seahawks and the Dallas Cowboys enter this game with an 8-6 record. They are in the exact same spot here where a loss combined with a victory by Atlanta would end their playoff chances.

The Seahawks thumped Philadelphia 24-10 to improve to 8-4 two weeks ago, but then came a tough loss at Jacksonville, 30-24, and a humbling one at home against the Rams, 42-7 last week. Note that underdogs coming off a loss of five TDs are on a 41-21-5 (66.1%) ATS run, and Seattle QB Russell Wilson is 13-5-1 ATS as an underdog in his career.

The Cowboys will have running back Ezekiel Elliott is back from a six-game suspension, but he'll face a desperate and embarrassed Seattle D, and Dallas is often overrated by the books in this spot going 1-6 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

My selection is an 8* play on Seattle Seahawks.