The Golden State Warriors were held to a season-low 81 points and 3-for-27 3-point shooting by Denver in a home loss Saturday night. They had won 11 straight prior to that setback, and I think they'll show up here for this marquee matchup with the Cleveland Cavaliers.

This will be the third consecutive year those teams battle it out on Christmas Day, with the home team winning both times. Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in the series overall.

The Cavs failed to cover the spread in a 115-112 home win against Chicago their last time out and only 1-5 ATS in their last six games.

I really like the fact that we get the Warriors off a loss here. They'll be looking to make things right in front of the home fans.

Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last seven road games. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last five home games. Under is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings in at Oracle Arena, and I don't expect a ton of points today either.

My selection is an 8* play on Under.