The Sacramento State Hornets look like a solid underdog when they host the Montana Grizzlies Thursday night. Montana has won seven of its last nine and covered the spread in each game during that stretch while Sacramento State has lost four of five and took an 82-67 beating as a 10.5-point dog at Eastern Washington its last time out. Recent results have led to the bookmakers over-adjusting the spread for this matchup. Note that the Hornets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following a ATS loss and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. Big Sky opponents.

My selection is an 8* play on Sacramento State.