The Eastern Conference-leading Toronto Raptors are coming off a 106-99 win at Indiana Thursday night. Seven of their last nine (including last night's game) have gone under the total, and that's a trend I expect to continue when they host the Dallas Mavericks Friday night.

Dallas has managed to win three of its last four with each of the last three going under the total. The Mavs are playing at a very slow pace at 97.5 possessions per game and I don't see Toronto pushing the tempo here when playing on no rest.

Under is 8-2 in Mavericks last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 9-1-1 in Raptors last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

My selection is a 10* play on DAL @ TOR to go UNDER the total.