The Indianapolis Colts recorded an upset win over the Houston Texans on the road in the AFC Wild Card round last Saturday, and the reward is a matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs in the Divisional Round.

While I doubt the visitors will be able to win this game outright, I really like their chances of covering the spread.

KC's offense ranks 1st in the league in both total offense and points per game, but how will rookie QB Patrick Mahomes handle the pressure of a playoff game?

Mahomes and the rest of the Kansas City offense will face an Indianapolis D that has been excellent in recent weeks and allowed just a total of 24 points through two crucial victories. "There's no doubt the defense is a huge part of the reason that we are where we're at," Colts coach Frank Reich said. "The reason, I think, is because, No. 1, we have good players. You can have a great scheme, but if you don't have good players, it doesn't matter."

The Colts have a seasoned QB in Andrew Luck who finished second to Mahomes with 39 scoring passes during the regular season, and he's getting terrific protection from an offensive line that allowed the fewest sacks in the league.

Chiefs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. Colts are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings at Arrowhead.

8* play on Indianapolis Colts.