The Kansas City Chiefs will host the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game Sunday afternoon. Both teams are coming off blowout victories in the Divisional Round, but I think KC's home field advantage will be too much for the Pats to overcome in this contest.

New England was just 3-5 SU and ATS on the road during the regular season, including three double-digit losses. Here it'll face Kansas City defense that may have ranked ranked 31st in the league during the regular season, but allowed just 266 yards and 15 first downs in last week's 31-13 win over the Indianapolis Colts.

The Chiefs owned the No. 1 offense in the regular season and 23-year-old first-year starting QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 358 yards and four passing touchdowns against the Pats in Week 6. The Patriots won that contest 43-40, but I expect the Chiefs to execute revenge here when it counts.

10* play on Kansas City Chiefs.