I like the No. 12 Houston Cougars as a home favorite against No. 23 Cincinnati Bearcats Sunday afternoon.

Houston has won seven straight (5-2 ATS) since a 73-69 loss at Temple on January 9, and it is is a perfect 16-0 SU (9-6-1 ATS) home at Fertitta Center on the season. The Cougars have covered the spread in seven of their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and they're a perfect 3-0 as a home favorite of 3.5 to six points this season.

Cincinnati looked sluggish in its come-from-behind victory at Memphis on Thursday and has averaged only 67.4 ppg on the road, well below its 74.8 average overall. It has three losses despite being favored in all but one game this campaign, and then it took a 70-59 loss as a 2.5-point underdog at Mississippi State.

I think another loss is in the cards for the Bearcats.

8* play on Houston Cougars.