The LSU Tigers are coming off back-to-back wins over No. 7 Tennessee and Texas A&M, but they've covered the spread in only one of the last seven meetings with Alabama, and that was when they won the first meeting of the season 88-79 at home. Note that Bama is a perfect 6-0 ATS when trying to avenge a road loss this season giving us a 100% PERFECT angle to back the home team.

The Crimson Tide are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record and in desperate need of a win, looking to improve their position on the NCAA Tournament bubble. LSU won't lack motivation as it enters Saturday in a three-way tie for the SEC regular season title, but I like the home team to come through with a big win in this matchup.

8* play on Alabama Crimson Tide.