The Atlanta Falcons are a hot mess defensively and are entering this contest off six straight defeats, but they covered the number and outgained Seattle by 188 yards in a 27-20 loss to Seattle last time out. They should be well prepared for this one, coming off a bye week and with starting quarterback Matt Ryan healthy and back at the helm again.

The New Orleans Saints have won six on the bounce and had their star QB Drew Brees back under center in last week's rout of Arizona, but I still think Atlanta has too many offensive weapons to pass up on here.

The Saints are due for a flat game any time now, and with a road game at Tampa Bay coming up I think they'll be happy to just win this one, giving the Falcons the chance to hang in there or hitting the backdoor cover.

The underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Free pick on Atlanta Falcons.

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