The Penguins are a solid 21-5-4 at home on the season and they've won 10 of the last 14 matchups with the Leafs at Pittsburgh. Toronto is 16-13-1 on the road but 3-8 in its last 11 games as a road underdog.

This is a tough spot for the Maple Leafs who have played a lot of hockey lately, and we can note that they are 2-11 in their last 13 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation and 0-8 in their last 8 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.

While Toronto has split its last six games, Pittsburgh is coming off a pair of dominant outings and I like the Pens to get the job done in this one.

10* play on Pittsburgh Penguins.