This contest features two teams in very different spots, with the San Francisco 49ers off a humiliating home loss to Green Bay on Thursday night while the New Orleans Saints put a 38-3 beating on the Bucs on Sunday night. I think this sets up a perfect buy low, sell high spot here, selling the Saints in a potential letdown spot while buying an angry and disappointed Niners side with extra time to prepare. Additionally, the 49ers are getting healthy after dealing with a ton of injuries over the last couple of weeks.

49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

In addition to the Niners covering the spread, I also like the under. Note that both teams take 28+ seconds per snap on average which ranks in the bottom 10 of the NFL.

Under is 6-2-1 in 49ers last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

8* play on UNDER.