The Atlanta Falcons have been held to 17 points or fewer in three of their last four games, all going under the total. They are 10-2 to the under in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and in this game, they'll face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team with an elite defense. Last time out, the Bucs held Minnesota to 14 points and fewer than 300 total yards. While Tampa Bay is capable of putting up big numbers, keep in mind that Atlanta's defense has improved a lot under interim coach Raheem Morris.

8* play on UNDER.