The Michigan State Spartans are an undefeated 6-0 on the season but only 2-4 ATS. I still think they'll win and cover the spread as a favorite against Northwestern this Sunday.

The Wildcats are 3-1 SU (2-1 ATS) on the season. They've won and covered when favored by a large number, but they lost outright 71-70 as a 3-point favorite over Duke. Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Wildcats are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.

Michigan State has failed to cover the spread in three straight games, all favored by 23+ points. They defeated Duke 75-69 as a 4-point underdog at the start of the month. Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

8* play on Michigan State.