The Houston Texans took a 36-7 beating as a 1-point favorite against the Bears at Soldier Field last week. With that result fresh in mind, the bookmakers know they can inflate the number the Colts are asked to cover this week.

Note that while the Colts rank sixth in total defense, they rank only 12th against the pass the Houston owns the #4 pass offense in the NFL. Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson threw for 341 yards on 26-of-38 passing in a 26-10 home loss to the Colts two weeks ago, and I think he'll have decent success again in this one.

Sure, last week's loss saw Houston getting eliminated from playoff contention, but I still think they'll show up hoping to play spoiler.

8* play on Houston.