The Houston Rockets opened the season with a 128-126 OT loss at Portland, but I think we'll see way fewer points here in their second game of the campaign.

The Rockets have four players in quarantine, John Wall, DeMarcus Cousins, Eric Gordon, and Mason Jones, which no doubt will hurt their production.

The Denver Nuggets have started the season 0-2 SU and ATS while giving up 122.5 ppg. Coach Michael Malone must get the defense right, and this looks like a good spot against a depleted Rockets team.

Additionally, bookmakers know they can inflate totals for games involving the Rockets as square bettors love to bet those games go over the total. However, note that last season, Houston's over/under record was 32-49-3, 61.5% to the under.

Free pick on UNDER.

Mike has HUGE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY releases from both college hoops and pro basketball locked and loaded for Monday.

Active premium picks as of the publication of this free pick (more might be added)

- PISTONS @ HAWKS 10* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY
- MSU @ MINNESOTA 8* BIG TEN BOOKIE BU$TER
- COLORADO @ ARIZONA 10* NCAAB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY