The oddsmakers have the Kansas City Chiefs as a three-point favorite over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl. I think the value is on the underdog.

While the Chiefs have an edge offensively, the Bucs defense is one of the best in the league, and going against Tom Brady in big games is rarely a winning proposition. We can also note that Tampa Bay has home-field advantage, and even though there will be a limited amount of fans at the game, at least they are very familiar with the stadium.

Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers.