The teams are heading to New York tied at 1-1 after splitting a couple of games at Tampa Bay. The last game saw six goals, and I expect another high-scoring affair here in Game 3.

The Lightning have averaged 32 shots on goal per game in the series, and I expect them to throw everything at the Isles tonight to reclaim home ice advantage.

Additionally, note that the teams scored only one PP goal each in Game 2, despite 20 penalties and 54 penalty minutes issued. We should see better efficiency if the penalties keep coming.

Over is 6-2-1 in Islanders last 9 overall and 6-2-1 in Islanders last 9 games a home underdog.

10* play on OVER.