The Michigan Wolverines are a perfect 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS on the season and they figure to be fresh and well-rested coming off their bye week. Still, I think this is too many points to cover against a Wildcats team that is coming off an upset win against Rutgers. Northwestern is only 2-4 ATS on the season, but 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games as a road underdog. The Wolverines are also at risk of getting caught looking ahead to their showdown against the Michigan State Spartans next week.

Lastly, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, and in four of the last five games, the margin of victory has come by eight points or fewer.

8* play on Northwestern Wildcats.