The Pittsburgh Steelers will be playing on a short week after just barely scrambling past Chicago on Monday night football, winning by only two points as a 7-points favorite. They have a tendency of playing down to their competition, and I think the bookmakers are giving the home team way too much respect in this one.

The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite and of their five wins on the season, only one was by more than seven points. Here they'll face a well-rested Detroit team coming out of its bye week, and while the Lions are a winless 0-8 on the season, note that they've covered the spread in 50% of their games.

In their last game, the Lions took a 44-6 beating by Philly home in Detroit, but they are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has been placed on the reserve/Covid-19 list and he is ruled out for this game. I really don't see Pittsburgh putting a lot of points on the board, and in addition to Detroit covering the spread, I also like the under.

8* play on UNDER.