The Saint are unlikely to have much success moving the ball with Trevor Siemian at QB and running back Alvin Kamara at best dinged up, and most likely not even playing. The Bills have not been at their best lately, but they had allowed only 37 points over their last three games before giving up 41 to Indianapolis last time out. New Orleans' defense has given up 27, 27, 23, and 40 points through its last four games, but the Bills' offense has been inconsistent.

Under is 5-1-1 in Bills last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 8-0-1 in Saints last 9 Thursday games.

In addition to the under, I also like the Saints to cover the spread. Taking the points become all the more attractive in low-scoring games, and note that New Orleans head coach Sean Payton is 11-2 ATS as a home dog with the Saints.

8* play on New Orleans Saints.