The Iowa Hawkeyes take on the Michigan Wolverines in the Big Ten Championship game, and I think we're getting terrific value on the underdog in this matchup.

Both teams are elite on the defensive side of the ball, and while the stats say that Michigan has an edge offensively, I don't think it's THIS big of a difference. Additionally, the Wolverines might be feeling a bit too good about themselves following last week's 42-27 upset win at home over Ohio State.

Michigan was constantly underestimated by the oddsmakers during the regular season, but I think the script has flipped for the Big Ten Championship Game.

Wolverines are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wolverines are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as a favorite. Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Hawkeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.

10* play on Iowa Hawkeyes.