The Celtics have the Heat on the ropes following a 93-80 win in Miami to take a 3-2 lead in the series. They now get a chance to close out the series in front of the hometown crowd at TD Garden, and I don't think Miami can keep this close.

Only one of the previous five games in the series was decided by single digits, and Miami is not the same team without NBA Sixth Man of the Year Tyler Herro who has missed the last two games due to a groin injury. Herro was listed as questionable on Thursday, and even if he plays, he's unlikely to be at 100%.

Celtics are 29-14-1 ATS in their last 44 playoff games as a favorite.

8* PLAY ON BOSTON CELTICS.