We won with the Steelers as an underdog at Cincinnati in Week 1, but despite the win, note that they were outgained by 165 yards. Now they're a short home dog against a Pats team that was held to just one score (a touchdown) in a loss to Miami in their season opener. This line is a typical overreaction based on the results of the first game. I will most likely be backing Steelers as dogs again this season, but I'm gonna need more points than this. It's also worth noting that Pittsburgh LB T.J. Watt is expected to miss the next six weeks due to injury.

Steelers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.

10* PLAY ON NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS.