Indiana is 11-6-1 to the over this season while averaging a healthy 79.0 points per game. Michigan State is not putting up nearly as big numbers, but I expect this to be a high-scoring affair with the Hoosiers at home driving up the tempo. Michigan State might have no other choice than to oblige and the Spartans are averaging 69.5 possessions per game on the road compared to 66.8 possesions per game at home.

Over is 10-3 in Hoosiers last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 17-8-1 in Spartans last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

8* PLAY ON OVER.