Texas has a better record at 59-41 versus Houston's 56-44, but I'm not convinced they're the better team.

Houston righty Brandon Bielak has allowed only two earned runs over 17 2/3 innings of work in three starts this month since returning from Triple-A Sugar Land.

Texas righty Jon Gray has allowed 12 runs over 18 innings in July. The Rangers have lost four of his last six starts. Gray is 1-3 with a 3.94 ERA in six career starts against the Astros.

Bet on the Astros with 3% of your bankroll.