The San Antonio Spurs have played reasonably well on the defensive end lately, with 113, 112 and 103 points allowed through their last three games. The Denver Nuggets are more than capable of running up the score if they want to, but I think they'll be satisfied just to do enough to get the win.

Under is 16-5-1 in Spurs last 22 overall. Under is 7-1 in Spurs last 8 games as a home underdog. Under is 22-8-2 in Nuggets last 32 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.

4* PLAY ON THE UNDER.