We're getting an good price on the Reds due to left-hander Nick Lodolo's last outing where he allowed eight runs over 2 1/3 innings of a 13-1 home loss to the Royals. A pitcher is never as bad as his worst performance, and note Lodolo's 3.05 ERA in his road starts and how the Pirates have averaged only 2.7 runs per nine innings against left-handers through their last five games.

3% PLAY ON THE REDS.