Kings top-tier shot suppression will test Matthews’ ability to find space. Talbot’s consistency gives LA an advantage over Toronto. Kings penalty kill (81.7%) is robust. LA’s 9-1-0 run trumps Toronto’s 2-3-0 skid. The Kings are clicking at home, while the Leafs are 18-13-2 on the road. The Kings’ league-best shot suppression and low goals-against average give them an edge over Toronto’s leakier back end. Toronto’s on a West Coast swing (third game in four nights), while L.A. has a day’s rest after hosting Edmonton. LA’s momentum and home ice make the difference.