The set-up: Maryland comes in ranked at #21/#22 (AP/USA Today) in the latest polls. They are off just their third loss of the season, which came Saturday by a single point, at home to Purdue. They'll look to bounce back tonight in Happy Valley. Penn State has dropped five of its last six and is not considered a factor in the Big 10 race.

Maryland: Those into "advanced stats" aren't big fans of the Terrapins, but this team doesn't seen too bothered by that. They'd not only won seven straight times before the loss to Purdue, they were a perfect 7-0 ATS in those games as well! Two of their three losses have come by a total of three points. The Terps are 2-0 ATS off a loss this year. Can they make it 3 for 3 here?

Penn State: The Nittany Lions are also off a close loss on Saturday, although theirs came at home to Rutgers, which is hardly an inspirational sign. It was not a good week in State College as last Wednesday saw PSU lose a triple overtime game at Indiana. While there have been signs of competitiveness, we should also probably take note of recent losses to Purdue (by 25) and Wisconsin (by 27).

The pick: Maryland has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS on the road this year and I see no reason to buck that trend against an inferior opponent. They are also 9-0-1 ATS as an underdog. While not getting points in this situation, the line is low enough where it shouldn't be a factor. Make Maryland an 8* play.