The set-up: The talent gap on the mound this afternoon absolutely makes the Phillies worth the price of admission in this particular matchup in my opinion. The visitors go with ace Aaron Nola, while the home side goes with Trevor Richards.

The teams: Nola is so far 12-2 with a 2.27 ERA. He most recently went seven scoreless against the Mets on Monday, striking out ten and giving up one hit and one walk in the commanding effort. Nola's been strong on the road as well with a 4-2, 2.85 ERA.

Richards is so far 2-5 with a 5.24 ERA. He most recently gave up two earned runs off four hits while striking out five and walking seven over 3.2 innings in a fortunate no-decision to the Nationals on Sunday. Note that he's an uninspiring 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA at home this year.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadlephia is 20-13 (+7.4 units) this year in all "day" games, while Miami is just 12-19 in all "day" games. I'm expecting another dominant effort from Nola. Lay the price.