The set-up: I think Tyler Skaggs and the hard-hitting Angels are the correct call in this particular matchup. The home side goes with Ryne Stanek.


The pitchers: Skaggs is so far 8-6 with a 2.62 ERA. He most recently gave up two runs (just one earned) off four hits while striking out nine over six innings in a victory over the White Sox on Wednesday. The southpaw has now given up one or fewer earned runs in seven of his last eight trips to the hill while posting a 51:12 K/BB over 50 innings during that stretch.


Stanek is so far 1-3 with a 2.43 ERA. He's expected to throw no more than two frames, before making way for either Austin Pruitt or Ryan Yarbrough out of the bullpen. In his last start Stanek was lit up for three runs over two innings by the Orioles.


The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is 17-8 (+5.8 units) in its last 25 as a road favorite in the -125 to -175 range, while Tampa is just 57-63 (-8.5 units) in its last 120 at home when the money line is set in the +125 to -125 range. I'm banking on Skaggs coming in focused and I look for the Angels to take advantage of this favorable matchup. Great value, play on the Angels.