The set-up: I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. The visitors hand the ball to Robbie Ray, while the home side goes with Rich Hill.

The pitchers: Ray is so far 3-2 with a 4.73 ERA. After going 15-5 with a 2.89 ERA last season, 2018 has been a grind for Ray. He's coming off a decent outing against the light-hitting Reds on Saturday, but note that he's still owns a poor 5.57 ERA in all "night" games.

Hill is so far 6-4 with a 3.50 ERA. The veteran comes in off back-to-back gems, posting a tiny 1.38 EA over his last 30 frames of work. Hill has to be feeling pretty confident here as well as note that he's 6-3 with a very respectable 3.01 ERA in all night games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but LA is now 7-3 in its last ten night home games in which it's a favorite in the -105 to -175 range. I like Hill to continue his end of season surge and I look for Ray to get the hook early. Lay the price.