The set-up: Two pitchers on top form collide in this National League contest on Thursday night and in my opinion, runs are going to be at a premium here. The Reds came out on top 6-5 in ten innings yesterday, but everything points to more of a "duel" between the Cubs Jose Quintana and the Reds Luis Castillo on Thursday.

The pitchers: Quintana (4-2, 3.50 ERA) had a four game win streak snapped in last Friday's setback to the Brewers, allowing three runs over seven innings. He's 3-2 with a 3.69 ERA in six career starts vs. Cincinnati.

Castillo (4-1, 1.76) has won four straight, most recently posting a season-best 11 K's over six shutout innings in a victory over San Francisco last weekend. He's 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA in six career starts vs. Chicago.

The pick: Note that Chicago has seen the total go under in 9 of 14 vs. division opponents already this year, while Cincinnati has seen the total go under in ten of 16 at home. This number is high.

Chicago Cubs/Cincinnati Red UNDER

10* play