The set-up: Max Scherzer got out to an uncharacteristically slow start to the 2019 campaign, but I still think he's going to easily outlast his volatile counterpart. The visitors counter with Jose Urena.

The pitchers: Urena (2-6, 4.30 ERA) is 4-2 with a 3.47 ERA vs. the Nats for his career. Still, I think Urena is in over his head here in this difficult road venue.

Scherzer (2-5, 3.41) leads the NL with 96 K's this season. He has one of the worst run support averages in all of baseball, plus his bullpen is horrible. Note that he's 12-4 with a 3.28 ERA lifetime vs. Miami.

The pick: Note as well that Miami is just 8-18 as an underdog of +150 or higher, while Washington is 11-7 in its last 18 "day" games. I'm banking on Scherzer going deep.

Washington Nationals -1.5 RUN LINE

8* play