The set-up: While three of four in this series have fallen "under" the number, I believe that Game 5 definitely sets up as a high-scoring "shootout." Houston has seen the total go "over" in 14 of its last 21 after losing by ten points or more in its prevoius outing, while the Lakers have seen the total fly over in seven of their last 11 after back-to-back ATS/SU victories.

The pick: I primarily base my O/U picks on "situations." With their backs against the wall, the Rockets have to get out and push the pace of this one from start to finish. This number is a little low.

This is a 10* TOTAL PLAY-BOOK on the OVER Rockets/Lakers.