The set-up: Charlie Morton has arguably been the best pitcher in all of the MLB playoffs this year. Walker Buehler has been sharp as well for the Dodgers. Their numbers are very similar and it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either starting pitcher to come out on top here. That means that these starters are a "wash" in my books and in a case like that, I think the value swings to the undervalued underdog.

The pick: These clubs are very similar. They each possess amazing hitting talent and each is filled with competent bullpen pitching. In a contest which I see being decided late or in extra innings, I'm going to lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance!

This is a 10* PLAY-BOOK on the RAYS on the RUN-LINE.