The set-up: The same reasoning behind why I laid the price for Montreal on the puck-line last night, is the same reasoning that I'm using here for the Islanders. Game 5, tied 2-2. This series has been incredibly even. Both series have. For the most part, they've been very defensive affairs and that should once again be the case here.

The pick: I just can't see the Lightning running up the score here even if they do get the lead. In a contest which I see being decided late, or even in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals.

This is an 8* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the Islanders.