These are two teams trying to cement their status in the Western Conference top six. Denver is already there, with an 18-16 overall record. The Nuggets have won three straight to move into fifth position. A couple spots lower is Dallas, who is 18-18 and in eighth place. But the Mavericks have won two straight themselves.

I’m liking the Over here. Denver scored 124 points in its last game, despite being undermanned. Road games have been higher scoring than home games this year for the Nuggets. They average 107.4 points away from home, but also give up an average of 108.8.

The Over is 7-3 in the Nuggets’ last 10 games following a straight up win.

Dallas is getting players back, most notably Luka Doncic. It was a really low-scoring game last night with Oklahoma City, but the Mavericks still won 95-86. I want to point out that last night’s opponent is the lowest-scoring team in the NBA. The Mavs will certainly give up more points tonight as I can’t see them holding four straight opponents below 100 points.

But also look for the Mavs to score more points tonight than they did last night. No one on the team scored more than 15 against the Thunder. They got only seven free throw attempts. Now at home, you got to figure they’ll get a lot more than that in tonight’s game. This is a low total, so play the Over.